Theory, Prediction, and Confirmation Revisited

When prediction can work Emergence mechanisms Confirmation via big data and experiments Extension to organizations, health, and geopolitics

Victor Nee

Dynamics of Reconciliation: Dyadic Experiments in China and the United States

This paper studies the dynamics of reconciliation using dyadic and parallel experiments conducted in China and the United States, with a focus on U.S.–China relations. The experi

Eldar Shafir

Kai Quek

Behavioral Surrogates: Measuring and Predicting Long-Run Impacts of Vaccination Incentives

Evaluating public health interventions often requires predicting long-run outcomes from short- run behavioral responses. This paper examines whether commonly used behavioral measur

Margaret Levi

Erik Wengström

Lab-in-the-Field Experiments: Rationale and Applications in China with CEOs

Lab-in-the-field experiments occupy a middle ground between laboratory studies and full-scale field experiments. This talk explains the rationale for using such designs to study th

Delia Baldassari

J. Håkan Holm